Abstract
- Developments in smartphone chips are delivering diminishing velocity returns.
- Most apps are actually bottlenecked by community efficiency, not processing energy.
- You possibly can most likely ignore velocity considerations except you are majorly into gaming or generative AI.
Whereas I used to be comparatively late to the smartphone sport — I purchased my first one in 2012 — for years afterward, the principle factor I appeared ahead to with every improve was the velocity increase. Apps would set up and launch noticeably quicker, and in some circumstances, entire new features grew to become doable. Take into account that each Apple Maps and Google Maps now help 3D terrain whilst you drive. That might’ve been approach too demanding on my iPhone 6, however on my iPhone 16 Pro, it is nearly trivial.
Smartphone processors are nonetheless getting quicker, however there appear to be diminishing returns. The bounce from an iPhone 6s to the iPhone XR was big, however I used to be stunned at how small the efficiency bump was on the iPhone 13, and the distinction with my 16 Professional is sort of unnoticeable past particular apps. Comparable issues may be mentioned concerning the Android house — I’ve a OnePlus 9 5G that feels practically as contemporary right this moment because it did in 2021.
That raises a critical query — are the processor upgrades on smartphones largely meaningless today? All about bragging rights somewhat than sensible worth? I feel that is true in lots of circumstances, however not fully.
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Why smartphone velocity is (often) meaningless
Assume twice earlier than you improve
If real-time 3D maps over mobile have develop into trivial, that means little to no demand from most apps. A text-based social media app like Bluesky may most likely run in your smartwatch, if there was sufficient display house for studying. Apps like Fb, Instagram, and Snapchat declare an even bigger footprint, however principally as a result of they should cache video and/or overlay visible results — and when was the final time you heard main complaints about how briskly these apps had been working?
Arguably, the largest bottleneck for many telephones is not how briskly they will course of knowledge, it is how briskly they will obtain or ship it over a community, particularly since a number of knowledge is processed within the cloud or on a secondary system anyway. After I end a weightlifting session, I would like to attend a second for the Health app on my iPhone to sync knowledge from my Apple Watch, however that knowledge masses all of sudden when the sync is full. It then takes a number of moments extra for that knowledge to sync with different apps on my cellphone, reminiscent of Cronometer and Google Match, but there’s hardly any load time after I truly launch them.
If I needed to make a cellphone my major gaming system, I would not take into account one with something lower than 2023 flagship specs. Even that can most likely develop into outdated in a number of years.
For the apps that rely each day, in different phrases, velocity is commonly now not a priority. Whilst you can probably encounter hurdles on a contemporary funds cellphone just like the Samsung Galaxy A36, even that system delivers efficiency that was restricted to flagship telephones a number of years in the past.
I am unable to see this example reversing anytime quickly. Although there’s at all times strain to make apps extra visually interesting, there’s solely up to now you may stretch that for the aim and funds of most apps. Telephone screens, in the meantime, have hit a high quality ceiling — the Pixel 9’s OLED panel is about as sharp and colourful as anybody wants.

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Why smartphone velocity nonetheless has some worth
The area of interest circumstances that persist
You must take into account processor energy when shopping for a cellphone, however just for one in all two causes (presumably each): gaming and AI. Of these, gaming may very well be the extra authentic concern.
Many individuals restrict their cellphone gaming to 2D titles like Sweet Crush or Phrases With Pals, and if that is you, you are already set. The expertise of 3D video games continues to evolve, nevertheless, and there is not any signal of it slowing down. Overlook Fortnite or PUBG — extra graphically intense console video games are starting to look on cellular, reminiscent of Resident Evil: Village. The extra highly effective your GPU, the smoother your framerates are with these video games, and you have to prioritize that if you need entry to a top-flight library. If I needed to make a cellphone my major gaming system, I would not take into account one with something lower than 2023 flagship specs. Even that can most likely develop into outdated in a number of years.
AI hasn’t inflated smartphone gross sales up to now, and actually there’s been a little bit of a backlash towards it.
Generative AI is the pattern du jour, and does take some critical horsepower when it must be processed on-device. That is why all the things within the iPhone 16 lineup contains an A18 chip, for instance, as a substitute of some fashions sporting a last-generation processor, as Apple has tried to get away with previously. It may be value it for each corporations and customers to spend additional to make sure AI options run easily, significantly something involving search, picture enhancing, or audio mixing.
We’ll must see how a lot that truly drives demand. AI hasn’t inflated smartphone gross sales up to now, and actually there’s been a little bit of a backlash towards it, since many options have a minor influence at finest. Sure, object removing will help salvage an essential picture, and speaking to Gemini or ChatGPT might provide help to reply on a regular basis questions — however you are most likely not that involved with notification summaries, rewriting work emails, or producing AI pictures for enjoyable.

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The underside line, and the place we go from right here
Laying groundwork for the post-smartphone period
As issues stand, I would argue that the majority consumers can safely ignore processor energy so long as they purchase a brand new(ish) system every time their subsequent improve rolls round. They will nearly actually get one thing able to working the vast majority of apps, together with many AI options, because the bulk of generative AI processing takes place within the cloud. I am nearly stunned to listen to myself say this stuff, however they’re true. You possibly can seize Google’s Pixel 8a right this moment and be comfortable for years, except you are aiming for 60 frames per second in each sport.
Telephone makers actually are simply making an attempt to one-up one another for advertising functions in the meanwhile. Deliberately or not, nevertheless, they’re a minimum of laying the groundwork for a post-smartphone world. Present AR glasses are usually too weak, too costly, or too short-lived, usually in some mixture of these. If processors proceed to enhance efficiency whereas shrinking in measurement, although, it isn’t arduous to think about a world wherein we’re riding to work with out something in our pockets besides our pockets and keys.

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